Goldman's Billions

| Thu Jul. 23, 2009 9:59 PM PDT

Earlier this month Matthew Goldstein of Reuters broke the story of Sergey Aleynikov, a naturalized Russian immigrant who's been charged with stealing trade secrets from Goldman Sachs.  The secret in question was computer code.  In particular, according to the feds, it was 32 megabytes of code that Aleynikov encrypted and uploaded to a UK-owned website in Germany prior to leaving Goldman to go work for a competitor at a much, much higher salary.

And what did this incredibly valuable code do?  Answer: it ran Goldman's high frequency trading operation, and it's drawn attention to the shadowy but wildly lucrative HFT trading sector.

Basically, HFT relies on speed.  Traders buy and sell stock thousands of times a second and their profits rely on being able make their trades slightly before ordinary traders make theirs.  Speed is so important that a key component of HFT — aside from fast computers, big pipes, and rocket science code — is colocation of their servers.  That is, they set up their operations physically close to stock exchange data centers so that trading data has less distance to travel before it gets to them.  A few milliseconds in reduced latency time makes all the difference.  And that's not all: you'll be unsurprised to learn that there's a regulatory loophole that provides HFT traders with yet another advantage over ordinary schmoes. The New York Times provides an example today of how it all works:

It was July 15, and Intel, the computer chip giant, had reporting robust earnings the night before. Some investors, smelling opportunity, set out to buy shares in the semiconductor company Broadcom. (Their activities were described by an investor at a major Wall Street firm who spoke on the condition of anonymity to protect his job.) The slower traders faced a quandary: If they sought to buy a large number of shares at once, they would tip their hand and risk driving up Broadcom’s price. So, as is often the case on Wall Street, they divided their orders into dozens of small batches, hoping to cover their tracks. One second after the market opened, shares of Broadcom started changing hands at $26.20.

The slower traders began issuing buy orders. But rather than being shown to all potential sellers at the same time, some of those orders were most likely routed to a collection of high-frequency traders for just 30 milliseconds — 0.03 seconds — in what are known as flash orders. While markets are supposed to ensure transparency by showing orders to everyone simultaneously, a loophole in regulations allows marketplaces like Nasdaq to show traders some orders ahead of everyone else in exchange for a fee.

In less than half a second, high-frequency traders gained a valuable insight: the hunger for Broadcom was growing. Their computers began buying up Broadcom shares and then reselling them to the slower investors at higher prices. The overall price of Broadcom began to rise.

Soon, thousands of orders began flooding the markets as high-frequency software went into high gear. Automatic programs began issuing and canceling tiny orders within milliseconds to determine how much the slower traders were willing to pay. The high-frequency computers quickly determined that some investors’ upper limit was $26.40. The price shot to $26.39, and high-frequency programs began offering to sell hundreds of thousands of shares.

The result is that the slower-moving investors paid $1.4 million for about 56,000 shares, or $7,800 more than if they had been able to move as quickly as the high-frequency traders.

Tyler Durden has been all over this for a while and estimates that HFT might account for as much as a quarter of Goldman's total earnings.  And here I always thought that fixed income trading was where all the money was. Live and learn.

Anyway, HFT has turned into an arms race, but it's an arms race that only the elite are allowed to play.  You and I just get to foot the bill, a tenth of a cent at a time.  Sound familiar?

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Comments

Nothing Very New Here

High frequency trading is pretty new, but the basic idea isn't. NYSE specialists have always played games with the orders on their books. When I was trading professionally, it was common to watch your hedge evaporate when your orders weren't filled even though your buys were on the offer, and then the price moved away from you.

I can has Tobin or transaction tax?

It's probably not a panacea, but a modest transaction tax, whatever it's other benefits, would at least make it harder to implement these cutie-wootie strategies which rely on double super reverse arbitrage leveraged 50 times over. Why, with a transaction tax, Goldman might have no choice but to focus its energy on trying to predict long-term cash flows in order to buy when low, hold, and sell when high. Heaven forfend.

And this does what good?

Could someone explain to me what value exactly this innovative practice is this creating? (For the overall economy of course, not the skimmers like Goldman.)

Right

tagged as: 

There is no contribution to GDP. Instead of these minor fees, maybe Congress should require NASDAQ to limit the right to HFT and auction it off those rights. Then we might get a sense of the value of this practice.

Right

tagged as: 

There is no contribution to GDP. Instead of these minor fees, maybe Congress should require NASDAQ to limit the right to HFT and auction it off those rights. Then we might get a sense of the value of this practice.

Liquidity

The value added to these types of transactions is liquidity. NASDAQ pays large banks and holders money so that there is an incentive for them to provide liquidity to the market. Look up the definition of liquidity and you might get a sense of the value added from these types of HFTs.

Insider Edge at this Casino

Thanks for the very readable summary of the key issue in the Aleynikov Affair. One note of caution would be it's too early to tell just what Serge uploaded before that comes out in court (if it ever does).

One way to dig into the ferociously technical details of this story is to review the seven 2007 / 2008 episodes at The Algo Trading Podcast. Our Housing Doom blog was recently pleased to present a new annotated transcript of their most recent one -- on low latency.

Thanks for helping to keep the conversation on this tremendously important issue alive and kicking.

What Is Particularly Depressing

about this is that some of the nation's best brains are devoted to this zero-sum crap, which has no net economic value.

Seems pretty simple...

The rule in gambling is "The house always wins." The big boys seem to have it pretty well fixed that they're the house. Then again, it's not gambling if you know you're going to lose.

Fraud on the Market

So they pay a fee to be allowed to cheat? And they place sham trades to test price
levels? Can we stop worshiping the free market until we are sure the game isn't
rigged?

An idea stolen from the

An idea stolen from the "snipers" at Ebay where milliseconds make a difference. Goldman Sachs had close to the majority of program trades last quarter. It's just another version of front-running.

The way to slow this down is to slow it down and require that the price be held for a second--just one lousy second.

The effect of all of this crap is is that the US financial system, governmental and private, is becoming a pariah with respect to the rest of the world. A rigged insiders game.

the rationale for collocation doesn't make sense

"...they set up their operations physically close to stock exchange data centers so that trading data has less distance to travel before it gets to them. A few milliseconds in reduced latency time makes all the difference."

186 miles = 1 millisecond of delay.

So, yes, ensuring that your trading operation is no further from Wall Street than (say) Boston makes sense. Whether it's within 20 miles of Wall Street makes no difference.

That's not even close to

That's not even close to being true. Latency is a function of network distance and topology, which is only somewhat related to physical distance. Co-location is absolutely the best way to ensure a low-latency connection to the target.

I believe network latency

I believe network latency tends to have more to do with how many switches you go through than the speed of light in a fiber optic cable.

They may well be able to get a connection from in the city to go through fewer switches than one from outside it. They might even be making their own physical connection.

latency

As dob points out, speed of light isn't the actual limiting speed, and also note that round-tripping is required.

People are now concerned with shaving nanoseconds and microseconds off of response times to new trading information. A microsecond is maybe a few hundred feet. My sense (from talking with people working on automation of this sort and computing frameworks for it) is that collocation on the same network in the same building isn't strictly required to be competitive, yet, but it helps.
A couple of years ago I and coworkers were wondering whether real estate near exchanges would become valuable for a while (until speedups made being outside the exchange non-competitive). Never acted on it though.

Kids, you used to be able to try this at home ...

"High frequency trading is pretty new, but the basic idea isn't."

Really it's just high speed trading. I knew a guy who, 10-20 years ago parlayed an $8000 inheritance and a couple of computers iinto an early retirement, a beautiful property with pond in Westchester County, and a really comfortable life. Took work, but somebody who works very hard and is not stupid can learn to predict, for example, the quite probable response of the market on a given day to the earnings announcement of a company (with respect to expectations). All one has to do to make money is to do the homework and be faster than the suckers -- if report is good (defining "good" is the hard part), buy before the inevitable upswing, sell when the suckers come in, at a sometimes quite small profit. Rinse and repeat very frequently. I invested a little money with the guy who made about 30% in the quarter or two I was with him. (Quit because the deal was, he took a percentage and treated it as capital gains, though he had no skin in the game. Same way the hedge fund guys do now. I thought then, as I do now, that it's illegal.)

It's not just high-speed

It's not just high-speed trading. Goldman has managed to buy access to trading information that's not yet available to anyone else. Kids cannot try this at home.

Isn't one solution ...

just putting a small tax on all these transactions? I thought that was a great suggestion.

A fantastic find. Thanks a

A fantastic find. Thanks a lot Kevin !

Wall Street = Las Vegas without the Nevada gaming commission

I believe the proper term for the rest of us stock buyers is 'chumps,' although it might be 'suckers,' I'm not sure.

When the system is rigged then the system is corrupt. Period. And all those free-market worshipers were worried about government interference? Suckers!

In the meantime I'm also a sucker because I have a 401k. How stupid am I?

Tripp

The underlying story (the

The underlying story (the trade secret stealing charge) sounds like something straight out of a William Gibson story. Minus the razorgrrls, sadly.

You imply that average

You imply that average people are "footing the bill" for this. I don't see how.

First of all, average people should probably be buying index funds anyway. Management fees on these funds are lower than they've ever been.

And even if you trade stocks (or ETFs), trading costs are lower than they've ever been, partly because bid-ask spreads have gone down to nothing. This is a result of automatic order execution.

In other words, high speed trading makes the market closer to "efficient" in the sense that it prices in information more quickly. There is little risk now to just put in a market order and let it get filled, since the spread is so small and commissions are so low.

It is true that this makes it more difficult for an individual to react quickly enough to make money by (say) quickly reacting to an earnings announcement. But that has always been hard for an individual.

What happened to integrity?

ed,

Read what dob said: "It's not just high-speed trading. Goldman has managed to buy access to trading information that's not yet available to anyone else. Kids cannot try this at home."

This is an important point. This market is not a pristine, free market but running at higher speeds. This market sells access to trading information that allows the buyer of that access to get an advantage over other traders.

Adam Smith himself would agree that money leached through insider trading and the like is especially corrosive to a market. Besides draining capital away from more productive uses it ruins the integrity and the reputation of the market itself, something which is very hard to regain once it is lost.

Tripp

Trojan horse for frontrunning

Take away the technology and expose the flow of these events and what do you get? Frontfunning. You can sugracoat it as making things more liquid and other labeling memes to take away it's negative aspect, but folks, let's strip it for what it is. This is not free-market. It's an unfair advantage to the bigger regimes.

It's easy to at least reduce

It's easy to at least reduce the lure of day trading, if not millisecond trading. First, get rid of the cut in cap gains tax. Second, add federal fees to really short term trades. An extra 10% for same day trading, etc. Few would want to do it anymore.

shocking stuff

that guy over at http://www.forecastfortomorrow.com did a piece on this a while back.

this is decietful and these people should be jailed...yes yes...and obama never lies and there really is weapons of mass destruction....LOL

still this is a sad story and when wall st fully collapses there will be hell to pay..not just money.

Lets call this what it is .

Lets call this what it is . . . front running and it is illegal.

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