Reining in Wall Street
I am — how to put this delicately? — skeptical of Congress's ability to stand up to the world-spanning tentacles of the finance lobby and actually enact serious banking reform. Thanks to the lobby, the simplest, most robust ways of reforming Wall Street were never even on the table in the first place, and the reform bills now grinding their way through
Congress are already complex enough that most bankers will have little trouble eventually figuring out a way to worm their way around them.
But Noam Scheiber reports today that maybe the lobby is about to lose a battle. Barney Frank's draft legislation to force all derivatives to be traded on a public exchange originally included an exemption for "end users" — that is, ordinary corporations that simply want to hedge the price of oil or pork bellies or whatnot:
But independent experts who studied the measure came to a different conclusion: that it could exempt between 60 and 80 percent of the standardized market because of its vague wording, including many firms who were speculating rather than simply hedging risk....Which, as it happens, was precisely the idea. Though the end users arguably had a legitimate gripe, the banks had long viewed them as a means to deflect additional regulation. “The original plan on derivatives was basically pushed by the industry,” says one bank lobbyist. “What they wanted was, ‘Hey, let’s get the dopey end users to go out and be the face of reform. We don’t have the credibility.'” This lobbyist says the banks helped organize a group called the Coalition for Derivatives End Users, which weighed in with Congress in favor of a robust end-user exemption.
....But a funny thing happened on the way to securing the loophole: A confederation of consumer and investor groups, labor unions, environmental activists and a progressive organization called Americans for Financial Reform (AFR) started raising hackles of their own. In several meetings with Frank, these groups stressed that the exemption was too porous, and that it wasn’t just an obscure, technical issue of interest only to banks, regulators, and lobbyists.
....By early this month, the pressure from [CFTC chairman Chairman Gary Gensler] and the progressive groups had the desired effect. Though Frank believed their concerns were somewhat overblown, he pronounced himself open to tightening the language to make sure the bill didn’t give speculators a pass. “Barney likes to say redundancy is your friend,” says one financial services committee staffer. “If people have concerns, we’ll tighten up the language...hedging done by corporations is what we’re looking to protect.”
To be honest, this seems like only the tiniest ray of sunshine to me. The derivatives legislation is important, but it's never really struck me as the core of financial reform, and the end-user loophole was so obvious that it's frankly hard to believe it was there in the first place. Getting rid of it just means that the financial lobby failed in a longshot effort, not that it failed on any point of truly central concern.
Anyway, we still haven't seen the revised wording from Frank's committee, we still haven't voted on the bill, we still haven't seen the Senate version of the bill, and we still haven't seen the conference report. There's plenty of time for even this minor victory to get sanded down to nothing. I remain pessimistic on the ability of Congress to rein in the financial community in any serious way. They just don't have the power.
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Comments
This is exactly the sort of
This is exactly the sort of situation you get sucked into when something is "too big to fail." AIG, Goldman Sachs, Chrysler, GM, etc., etc.-- if they couldn't survive on their own, we should have simply let them burn to the ground. Now, we've bailed them out and are stuck with their (usually successful) rent-seeking behavior.
Barney Frank
Barney's been quite disappointing on financial regulation. He made a big effort to deep-six the Fed audit amendment. I don't quite get what his deal is.
While the whole detailed
While the whole detailed explanation is above my pay grade, what I get from the financial blogs is that what will happen if the Fed is audited is that it will be revealed that it is not the Chinese who are buying our debt, it is the Fed. This news will destroy the market, expose the shenanigans going on behind the curtain and bring the whole thing crashing to ground. In short, we are buying our own debt.
You misunderstood
Whatever it was you were reading.
Chinese buying of US Treasury debt is observable, the US Central Bank can't "hide" that. While Chinese buying may have slowed it has not stopped.
The resistance to an amendment that I seem to understand to give your Congress or the executive audit powers over the Central Bank is that said powers are considered extremely poor practice internationally. Central banks are best over the long run when operationally independent.
An audit would not reveal "hidden chinese debt" but might cast unpleasant light on the quality of assets.
Congress doesn't have the power? Huh?
Kevin Drum: "I remain pessimistic on the ability of Congress to rein in the financial community in any serious way. They just don't have the power."
Don't have the power? What, they repealed the Constitution and didn't bother reporting it? I'll re-phrase it:
alex: "I remain pessimistic on the ability of Congress to rein in the financial community in any serious way. They're just too well bribed."
ref: Sen. Durbin
More Easter Eggs
The Kanjorski Amendment, touted as getting tough on TBTF, actually weakens the existing Prompt Corrective Action law. That law was passed in the wake of the S&L meltdown and not only allows, but requires that insolvent banks be taken into receivership ASAP. Of course Bush and Obama have simply ignored federal law (search William K. Black for more info). The Kanjorski Amendment allows insolvent banks to bring suit to prevent this, which means of course that "prompt" will be defined as paid-by-the-hour lawyers use it - sometime within the next millennium.
This is a joke.
Wouldn't real end users,
Wouldn't real end users, like airlines in need of fuel at somewhat predictable prices be one of the biggest forces im favor of regulation, and perhaps even taxation of derivatives trading? The regulation would be the same cost for all the players in the industry but it might help get some of the wildest speculators out of the market.
Speculators can turn a market that is supposed to keep prices predictable into a rollercoaster even if they aren't pulling enron style manipulation stunts.
Weren't some airlines investing in their own oil transport and storage facilities? That to me sounds like a market in trouble. I bet they would prefer to spend that money on a lawyer keeping their trading in line.
While the whole detailed
While the whole detailed explanation is above my pay grade, what I get from the financial blogs is that what will happen if the Fed is audited is that it will be revealed that it is not the Chinese who are buying our debt, it is the Fed. This news will destroy the market, expose the shenanigans going on behind the curtain and bring the whole thing crashing to ground. In short, we are buying our own debt.
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Boy, what people will do for page counts...
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