TARP Unbound

| Mon Dec. 7, 2009 11:06 AM PST

The much-derided TARP program has turned out to be remarkably successful:

The White House had projected in August that the $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program, or TARP, would lose about $341 billion over the next 10 years. But officials scaled back the estimate after once-shaky Wall Street firms began recovering much more quickly than expected. In addition, several TARP initiatives have been funded at a smaller amount than originally planned.

....The new, more optimistic estimates of TARP losses could pave the way for Democrats to tap some of the program's unspent funds for a jobs bill currently being crafted in the House. White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said Friday that President Obama is likely to discuss such a plan during a speech Tuesday at the Brookings Institution.

....Some leading Republicans are opposed to proposals to use TARP funds for job creation, saying it would violate the intent of the law. These lawmakers say they simply want the program to end. "The money went out to financial institutions. Now it's coming back, and as it comes back, what we ought to do with that money is use it to reduce the budget deficit," House Minority Leader John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) said on Bloomberg TV last week.

It was always a mystery to me why so many people insisted that the program was likely to have a net cost of $700 billion, when that was never remotely likely in any scenario short of a full-on rerun of the Great Depression.  In the end, it's been extremely successful and surprisingly cheap, even cheaper than I suspected at the time.

In related news, I'd say that John Boehner is quite correct in theory and abysmally wrong in practice.  But at least that's better than his usual batting average.

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Kevin Drum is a political blogger for Mother Jones. For more of his stories, click here.

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Comments

I think it's a mistake to use

I think it's a mistake to use TARP for jobs. And I want a jobs program.

But I want honest and ethical politicians and I don't like backdooring jobs with TARP money if that's illegal.

It's not supposed to be like Reagan's off the books slush fund.

Make the politicians pass a good jobs bill. Backdoor bills are just going to lead to a crappy jobs program.

opportunity lost

If Obama could tap a significant amout of those funds for a real jobs program, that would give him the shot in the arm that he could use right now.

But how much do you want to bet that he'll come up with something lame and timid instead?

"scaled back the estimate

"scaled back the estimate after once-shaky Wall Street firms began recovering much more quickly than expected."

Not mentioned is that this startling recovery is due to Enron-style accounting fraud.

Every body likes magic money...until it goes poof.

"Not mentioned is that this

"Not mentioned is that this startling recovery is due to Enron-style accounting fraud. "

That and the Fed secretively handing out $1T or so in essentially zero interest loans with no strings attached. Why borrow from Treasury at 5% when you can borrow from the Fed at 0%?

Yes, that's exactly right.

Yes, that's exactly right. Those two sentences sum it up perfectly. That's how BoA can pay back the TARP money early and still stink as an institution.

There does seem to be a bit

There does seem to be a bit of a disconnect on the liberal blogs I'm reading celebrating how great TARP has been. Until we get real financial reform, I don't believe anything the banks are saying, especially when it comes to valuing their investment assets.

So, while it is probably good from the standpoint of political optics, and hopefully one result will be that much of that new found money from TARP will be used for job stimulation, I don't think it's exactly a cause for any great celebration since it is based on smoke and mirrors and the fact that all these banks are exploiting the non TARP related bailout efforts, that are actually costing us more money.

Shorter GOP

We have hundreds of billions to help the bankers and their bonuses, but we have no money to help the unemployed and uninsured!

Hey Kevin, Comments still

Hey Kevin,

Comments still take way too long to appear at the site. This encourages people to post twice because they reasonably, after many minutes even, can't tell if your site correctly accepted the comment.

The cute sidebar javascripty thing titled "In the blogs" on the right side is still broken, and it is a useful nav tool when working.

I do encourage mojo to implement a widget showing the most recent comments.

And we need more stories about free hookers from copenhagen.

kthx

also...

where are my previous/next buttons?

Hey Kevin, Comments still

Hey Kevin,

Comments still take way too long to appear at the site. This encourages people to post twice because they reasonably, after many minutes even, can't tell if your site correctly accepted the comment.

The cute sidebar javascripty thing titled "In the blogs" on the right side is still broken, and it is a useful nav tool when working.

I do encourage mojo to implement a widget showing the most recent comments.

And we need more stories about free hookers from copenhagen.

kthx

Amazing how a no outrageous

Amazing how a no outrageous bonuses while you're in hock to the taxpayer rule speeds up the process.

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